Marcus Halaby<\/i><\/p>\n
Marcus Halaby reports on the latest developments in the Syrian revolution as international monitors send back their reports<\/p>\n
THE \u2008ARAB League comprises some twenty-odd dictatorships and absolute monarchies in varying degrees of dependence on the United States. So it was predictable that its observers\u2019 mission in Syria could only either whitewash the Syrian regime\u2019s crimes or pave the way for foreign intervention against it. In the event, the mission served both purposes. But the monitoring mission was in disarray at the time of going to press, the Arab League abandoning it shortly after announcing its extension.<\/p>\n
It was intended to monitor Syrian President Bashar Assad\u2019s compliance with an Arab League peace plan to end to Syria\u2019s ten-month long uprising, by releasing prisoners, withdrawing troops from the streets, and beginning a \u201cdialogue\u201d with the opposition. But it was headed by Mohammed Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi, a Sudanese general and former ambassador to Qatar, accused of involvement in atrocities in Darfur.<\/p>\n
As if this didn\u2019t damage its credibility enough, the largest group of monitors was provided by Iraq, whose government shares Assad\u2019s pro-Iranian orientation and opposed the League\u2019s imposition of sanctions on Syria on 27 November. They, equally predictably, contrived to see and hear no evil on the carefully guided tours they were given by the Syrian authorities, although at least 800 people were killed during the month-long mission, with reports of 17 corpses being thrown into the main public square in Syria\u2019s fourth city Hama on 27 January. Sudan\u2019s leadership of the mission allows it to break out of its relative isolation since George W Bush\u2019s War on Terror, the Darfur conflict, and the secession of South Sudan.<\/p>\n
The Syrian government tried to manipulate the outcome of the mission in other ways. Oppositionists in Homs report that tanks were painted blue and soldiers were given police uniforms to feign military withdrawal from civilian areas. A car bombing in Damascus on 23 December killed 44 people, injuring 166, and was followed by an alleged suicide bombing in the Syrian capital\u2019s Midan district on 6 January, which killed 26 people and injured more than 60.<\/p>\n
Blamed by the government on al-Qaeda, these attacks \u2013 the first of their type since the uprising broke out \u2013 were deeply suspicious, coinciding as they did with the arrival of the monitors. They were most likely staged by the regime to threaten the hostile conservative Arab Gulf states with chaos if they push too hard in the direction of regime change. Certainly, the bombings fit all too neatly into the regime\u2019s established narrative that the popular uprising is a conspiracy of foreign-backed armed gangs.<\/p>\n
Intervention still possible<\/p>\n
On the other hand, the failure of the mission to alter facts on the ground has emboldened those in favour of external intervention, with the Emir of Qatar, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, arguing that an Arab force should go into Syria \u201cto stop the killing\u201d on 14 January. Previously an ally, oil-rich Qatar has turned against Assad since the uprising. Qatar was also the leading Arab country in arming the Libyan rebels against Gaddafi and in assembling an Arab consensus in favour of NATO\u2019s intervention.<\/p>\n
Burhan Ghalioun, head of the opposition Syrian National Council, lobbied the Arab League on 20 January to take the issue to the United Nations and establish a Libyan-style \u201cno-fly zone\u201d. The six Arab Gulf states, led by Qatar and Saudi Arabia, withdrew their monitors in ostensible protest at Assad\u2019s continuing crackdown on protesters, following Assad\u2019s rejection of the League\u2019s plan to hand over power to a deputy, form a \u201cnational unity\u201d government within two months and prepare the way for multi-party elections. Now, the Arab League itself has abandoned the mission.<\/p>\n
An official UN-backed intervention remains unlikely, as Russia and China continue to veto UN Security Council resolutions condemning their Syrian ally. Indeed Russia has agreed to supply Assad with 36 combat jets. But underlying the moves to \u201cinternationalise\u201d the conflict is the fear \u2013 on the part of the Arab regimes and the bourgeois wing of the Syrian opposition \u2013 that otherwise the question of power will be decided on the streets.<\/p>\n
The movement of military defectors is growing. The Free Syrian Army is bold enough to establish checkpoints in the Damascus suburbs of Douma and Saqba \u2013 barely 30 km from the capital \u2013 for hours at a time. Similar stories have emerged from Homs, Idlib and Harasta, while civilian demonstrators have marched in support of the military defectors in Zabadani near the Lebanese border.<\/p>\n
The danger however remains that Assad\u2019s continuing repression and intransigence may make calls for intervention gain popularity on the ground, allowing the Arab regimes to place a straightjacket on Syria\u2019s revolution in the name of \u201cdefending\u201d it. Intervention would be a disaster in\u2008Syria, the hope for the future of the country lies with the growing rebellion as Syrian people struggle to take power into their own hands.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Marcus Halaby Marcus Halaby reports on the latest developments in the Syrian revolution as international monitors send back their reports THE \u2008ARAB League comprises some twenty-odd dictatorships and absolute monarchies in varying degrees of dependence on the United States. So it was predictable that its observers\u2019 mission in Syria could only either whitewash the Syrian […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7724,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[130,1],"tags":[104,221],"class_list":["post-4166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east","category-uncategorized","tag-archive","tag-syria"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7724"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4166"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4166\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7103,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4166\/revisions\/7103"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fifthinternational.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}